Tuesday, January 31, 2012

Signing Day Primer, Part 2: the Tracy Howard Extravaganza

And now, for the article I know you have been anxiously waiting for: the Tracy Howard Extravaganza. In this article, I’m going to look at 3 things: 
  1. Tracy Howard, the Player, 
  2. Tracy’s 3 finalists, 
  3. Predicting his choice.
     
So, let's get to it.

Part 1: Tracy Howard, the player
Tracy Howard is a dynamic player, who has the ability to impact games in a number of areas. Let’s take a look at some of them.

Measurables
Howard is your prototypical cornerback from a physical standpoint. He is solidly built at 5’11’’ and 180 pounds. Having been in the weight room with the team for most of the summer, I saw the hours that Howard (along with friends Malcolm Lewis and Marrell Jackson) put in to add size and strength.

Howard has added about 15 pounds of muscle in the last year, while not losing any of his lateral quickness, or straight line speed. He has very good quickness, and average straight line speed. He is a little top heavy, and could stand to add some weight in his lower body.

Howard’s physicality lets him get a good jam on receivers on the line, but larger players (tight ends, bigger power backs) hold the advantage against him when it comes to holding the point of attack or moving upfield.

Run Support/Tackling
Howard is a willing and capable tackler in run support, and open field situations. He was credited with more than 50 tackles this past season, most of which came against the run. He may not be the most physically imposing hitter, but he usually succeeds in getting the ball carrier to the ground.

Howard has a tendency to tackle low, and could be susceptible to missed tackles against top level juke and hurdle moves at the next level.

Blitzing
While Howard was rarely deployed in this fashion, he seemed to have a knack for it. It’s unusual for Corners to blitz, but they will do it from time to time. With the success of players such as Tyrann Mathieu (the Honey Badger) at LSU and Pompano Beach Ely alumni Patrick Peterson with the Arizona Cardinals, Howard may see an increase in the amount of time he is asked to blitz from the edge.

Howard’s timing on blitzes could be better, and it would improve with more reps in this area. This is one of the many ways Howard can impact games, but this is not his strong suit.

Coverage
While run support and blitzing may not be Tracy Howard’s strong suit, coverage most definitely is. Howard uses immaculate technique, good strength, and great instincts to virtually eliminate whichever receiver he is covering.

Howard’s cover skills have been on display since his sophomore year, when he emerged as a starter on the eventual State Champion Patriots. Working opposite a slew of eventual FBS (Division 1 for most of you) receivers Malcolm Lewis, Ivan McCartney, Stedman Bailey, Terrance Gourdine, and Dante Chambers in practice tested Howard’s mettle, and also made him work harder to refine his technique.

In man-to-man situations, Howard uses his strength to jam receivers on the line, and redirect them from their intended routes. He rarely allows for separation, and will challenge any throw that comes his way. Howard ended the season with 10 interceptions, the vast majority of which came in man-to-man coverage situations.

In zone situations, Howard uses good instincts to read route combinations, and is always aware to keep receivers in front of him. Obviously as a cornerback, Howard is one of the last lines of defense for his team. He takes great care to ensure that receivers do not get behind him in position to exploit the scheme in place.

Tracy has great ball skills from his days as a receiver. He was so good at receiver that I openly questioned the decision to put him at cornerback when he moved up to Varsity for his sophomore year. It’s amazing how wrong I was about that one!

Regardless of the situation (man or zone), Howard has incredible instincts, and breaks on the ball in the air very well. Howard doesn’t take too many chances going for interceptions, but when he does, he is successful more often than not. Additionally, Howard has average to slightly above average speed for his position, which allows him to remain in close range of all but the fastest receivers.

For those still unsure of Howard’s prowess in coverage, I will leave you with the most telling statistic I could possibly offer: in the course of a 15 game season, depending on whose statistics you rely on, opposing offenses completed between 6 and 9 passes to receivers covered by Howard all season. Contrast that against the 10 interceptions he came away with, and Howard actually caught more passes than the receivers he was charged with covering.

It is production like that which has made Tracy Howard the number 1 cornerback prospect in the country.  

Part 2: Evaluating his 3 finalists
Starting as soon as he was eligible (the first day of school of his Junior year), Tracy Howard started getting scholarship offers from just about every school in the country. I once joked that “every school whose coach is currently breathing has offered Tracy a scholarship.” While that may have been slight exaggeration for the purposes of comedic effect, it wasn’t far off from the truth.

Tracy has received mail from more than 80 schools, and scholarship offers from more than 30, according to numerous recruiting sites. With all of that attention, it’s no wonder that it has taken him to this point, the day before Signing Day, to narrow down his many options.

And now that he has done so, let’s look at his 3 finalists, in alphabetical order:

Florida State University
The Seminoles have a long tradition of excellence at the Cornerback position. Starting with Hall of Famer Deion Sanders (aka Primetime), and also including Terrell Buckley, Bryant McFadden, and Greg Reid, the Seminoles have a long and storied tradition of excellence in the defensive secondary. They have played in 3 National Championship games in the last 15 years, and are consistently a threat to put together a Championship Worthy season. With more than 15 starters returning next season, the Noles look to maintain their momentum, and remind us all of the days when Bobby Bowden’s boys were the baddest team around.

Pros
  • History of excellence at Cornerback
  • Veteran team that should challenge for the ACC Championship
  • Best returning team among his finalists
  • Great coaching from both position coach and defensive coordinator
  • Coach Stoops has molded some of the best NFL talent ever, including Ed Reed, Sean Taylor, Antrel Rolle, and others while at UM in the early part of the 2000s, and Greg Reid and Lamarcus Joyner in his time at FSU
  • Dynamic defensive system that allows players to play to their strengths

Cons
  • Party atmosphere in Tallahassee (which Tracy noted in an interview with Manny Navarro of the Miami Herald)
  • Furthest school from South Florida
  • Might only contribute sparingly as a freshman
  • Seem to have fallen behind over the course of the past month


University of Florida
The Gators have had incredible success in the past 15 years. With 3 National Championships, there are few schools that can claim their level of success. UF has also been a top talent producer, having put many players into the NFL. Their history at the cornerback position is strong, but not as impressive as FSU’s. Joe Haden (Browns) is probably the best corner they have produced in the last decade (unless you want to count Janoris Jenkins, whose story is yet to be completed).

Pros
  • Very advantageous depth chart
  • Plays in the premier league for College Football: the SEC
  • Great coaching at all levels of the team (Head Coach, Defensive Coordinator, Position Coach)
  • Would DEFINITELY play as a freshman
  • Pro style defense translates well to the next level

Cons
  • Only mild success in Coach Muschamp’s first year. Could be a trend that continues
  • Coaches seem to leave UF often, and that instability could affect Howard’s decision
  • Only a few South Florida players on the team


University of Miami
Few schools, if any, can match the Hurricanes when it comes to putting players in the league. This past season, 26 out of 32 NFL teams had a Miami Hurricane player on their roster. While the group of Canes in the  NFL is notably missing one position (Quarterback), it is heavy on guys who starred on Defense while in Coral Gables. Ed Reed. Antrel Rolle. Kenny Phillips. Ray Lewis. DJ Williams. Jonathan Vilma. Philip Buchanan. Mike Rumph. The late Sean Taylor. All these players were first round draft picks, evidence of the tradition of excellence that the Hurricanes have established.

Pros
  • Closest school to home (SunLife stadium is only 3 square miles from Miramar High School)
  • Very advantageous depth chart (only 2 scholarship cornerbacks on the roster at the time this article is being written)
  • Rising star in the coaching profession in Al Golden
  • Lots of South Florida players on the roster, including Randy “Duke” Johnson (Norland), Deon Bush (Columbus), and Malcolm Lewis (Miramar), all of whom are close friends with Howard.
  • Long tradition of Hurricanes excelling in the NFL.

Cons
  • Looming sanctions for NCAA violations in the Nevin Shapiro case
  • Mediocre performance in an average league since joining the ACC
  • Has never appeared in ACC Championship Game
  • Last season of National Prominence was 2009
  • Coral Gables could be too close to home


Part 3: Signing Day Prediction
There have been many articles written about Tracy Howard and his recruitment. Here are a couple for your perusal:
In a previous article on this very blog (Ask Me Anything, #2) I said that Tracy would choose between 2 schools. I was right about that part. I was wrong about the schools he would choose from.

In that article, I said it would come down to Florida and Florida State, for a variety of reasons. I also said that there was a chance that Miami could creep up into the discussion. As it happened, Miami has entered into the discussion, and Florida State appears to have dropped out.

In my mind, Tracy's Signing Day decision comes down to 2 schools: The University of Florida and the University of Miami.

I have debated this prediction in my head for the last week. Obviously, when picking one side, the other will feel slighted. That's just part of the prediction business.

Florida has shown a lot of attention to Tracy from day 1. They sent coaches to at least 6 games and more than 10 practices this past season, for the sole purpose of trying to get Howard to Gainesville. He has been one of their top priorities, and their dedication in his recruitment shows that.

The Gators even went so far as to send 4 coaches to the 8A State Championship game for the sole purpose of recruiting Howard. The coaches sat with his mother in the stands, and were treated to a typical Tracy Howard performance: 4 tackles, 1 pass broken up, 1 interception. It was the type of performance we have seen many times over the last 3 years, and solidified to the Gators that they were chasing after the right player for their team.

Miami has taken a very different approach to recruiting Howard. They were one of the first schools to offer him, but then they seemed to play it slow, not coming to games or practices as often as other schools, like UF and FSU. It wasn't until recently, within the last month, that the Canes have turned up the heat on Howard, calling and visiting him as frequently as the rules would allow.

Adding into the recruiting process for the Hurricanes are 3 of Howard's close friends: Deon Bush, Duke Johnson, and Malcolm Lewis. All three of these players are committed to UM, and are trying their hardest to get their good friend Tracy Howard to join them.

Howard and Lewis are best friends, and can routinely be found together walking the halls of Miramar High School. Having spoken to the pair together, it is clear that Malcolm is doing his best Bobby Bowden/Nick Saban/(insert awesome recruiter here) impression to try and get Tracy to join him on campus down in Coral Gables.

With all of that being considered, I have no doubt that Tracy will be successful regardless of his chosen destination. He has a singular focus on excellence, and his work ethic is among the best that I have ever seen.

So now we come to the question at hand: where do I think Tracy Howard will sign?

My head has been saying Florida for a long time. But...there's just this feeling in my gut that UM has played this perfectly. I can't pinpoint where my gut feeling is coming from, but I've had enough conversations with people, and seen enough circumstantial evidence to go with my gut.

There's nothing left for me to do but actually say it.

Tracy Howard will be signing with the Miami Hurricanes.


Want to find out for yourself? Be sure to tune in to ESPNU's Signing Day coverage, which will be broadcasting Tracy's announcement live at 9:50AM.

So tune in and see for yourself.

The Tracy Howard Extravaganza article has come to an end. The real-life media circus is just beginning.


Until Next Time,


Cameron J. Underwood
Miramar Sports

Monday, January 30, 2012

Signing Day Primer Part 1: Recruiting Overview


As Signing Day approaches, I figured this would be a good time to re-acquaint the Blog to the Patriot Nation. So, here’s a Signing Day primer to get you ready for the fully or action that is getting ready to happen on Wednesday, February 1st.

Tell us about the recruits not named Tracy Howard
We already know that Tracy Howard will make his decision on signing day (more on this tomorrow). But, he isn’t the only recruit Miramar will be sending to the next level. Here’s a quick look at the other 24 players who will be selecting their collegiate destinations on, or after, signing day:

Malcolm Lewis – Wide Receiver: Committed to the University of Miami
Lightning fast with shifty moves in the open field, Lewis will have the ability to impact games as a freshman for the Hurricanes. Should see time in the offense, and also as a kick and punt returner.

Devonte Mathis – Wide Receiver: Committed to West Virginia University.
This physically gifted player will join former Patriots Geno Smith, Stedman Bailey, Ivan “Sticks” McCartney, and Dominick Bryan in Morgantown as the Mountaineers look to transition to the Big 12, and build on the momentum from their win in the Orange Bowl.

Brian Williams – Outside Linebacker: Committed to Georgia Southern
Tall, wiry player with a big frame (6’4’’ 210lbs) that could easily support another 20-30 pounds of muscle. A big time talent who should will definitely find himself on the field as a freshman.

Daniel and Reggie Lennon – Offensive Lineman and Wide Receiver: Committed to Florida A&M
These brothers have played on the same football team since age 7, and will continue to play together in College. Daniel (6’2”, 280lbs) is a versatile player, who figures to find a home at Guard. Reggie (6’3’’ 180lbs) is a slick technician at receiver with a knack for getting open. Through the summer and early season, coaches and players claimed to have never seen Reggie drop a pass. While he struggled with drops and fumbles through the second half of the season, he will add a playmaking ability that the Rattlers sorely need on the outside of their offense

Kevin Gonzalez – Offensive Guard: Committed to Howard University
One of the Captains of this year’s team, Gonzalez will be a valued asset to the Bison. He might challenge for playing time as a freshman, but his impact will more likely be felt 2 to 3 years in the future.

Clevonne Davis – Offensive Tackle: Committed to North Carolina Central University
Davis will take his 3 years of starting experience to North Carolina Central. His size (6’3’’ 305lbs) and technique should allow him to challenge for playing time early in his college career.

Mike Fleurinvil and Kiwan Cottle – Defensive End and Defensive Back: Committed to Northwood University
Fleurinvil is a 3 year varsity player, and a member of the 2009 6A State Champions. Cottle is a tall defender (6’1’’) with a wiry, athletic build. Both will play as freshman, probably on special teams for the Seahawks.

Willie Paisley – Defensive Tackle: Committed to Southern University
A late bloomer on the recruiting scene, Paisley will take his considerable size (6’2’’ 315lbs) and talents to the Bayou. Will most definitely play as a freshman, although it figures to be in a limited number of snaps.

Camren Hudge – Quarterback: Committed to the University of Delaware
Hudge is a 3 year varsity player, and a proven winner. While he will have the opportunity to be the next great QB in Delaware history, his time will probably have to wait for a year or 2 as he gets acclimated to the Blue Hens’ offensive system.

D’Quan Williams – Defensive Tackle: Committed to Savannah State
Talented player who emerged as a top player through the course of the season. Williams will join a talented Savannah State team, and bring some Florida flavor to the Georgia team.

D’Vontis Arnold – Running Back: Committed to Bethune Cookman
One of my favorite players since he came to Miramar as a freshman, Arnold has struggled with injuries. He missed the last 14 games of the 2009 Championship season with a high ankle sprain, and he missed all of the 2010 season with a torn left ACL. Arnold was the Thunder to Alex Lee’s Lightning in the Miramar rushing attack, and will make a lot of teams regret not offering him a scholarship when they see his production with the Wildcats next year.

Now, a quick snapshot of the undecided players:

Marrell Jackson – Free Safety
Tall safety (6’2’’) with great range. Led the State of Florida, and finished second NATIONALLY, in interceptions, collecting 12 picks on the year.

Trevon Coley – Defensive End/Ooutside Linebacker
One of the leaders of the Darkside defense, Coley has a good motor and finished with 7.5 sacks. Good technique, and a solid tackler. Will be an impact player in 2 years.

Mark Rucker – Linebacker/Fullback
Rucker (another member of the 2009 State Championship team) is quick, powerful and instinctive. He saved one of his best games for his final home game (the Regional Final vs. Palm Beach Gardens, when he finished with 13 tackles). Could contribute early in college on special teams.

Anthony Hamilton – Safety
Solid defensive player. Had a solid season after missing 3 games with an elbow injury sustained in the Northeast game. Could potentially play Cornerback at the next level as well.

Kameron Capers – Linebacker
A smart but undersized player, Capers will continue to bring a physical brand of football to his chosen college. May need a year to add weight and recover from a broken ankle he suffered in the middle of the season.

Darrell Brown – Offensive Lineman
Good player who filled in all over the line. Will be a valued asset to his chosen college.

Fary Charles – Defensive End
Charles had a couple very strong games at the end of the regular season, and into the playoffs. His play was noticed by coaches and scouts alike. Plays with great leverage he’s learned from wrestling.

Denzel Trowers and Terrence Hill – Cornerback
These 2 players rotated at the “tight” cornerback position opposite Tracy Howard. Both have good speed, and decent ball skills in coverage. While they are small (5’8’’ and 5’9’’ respectively) they are tough, scrappy players who figure to continue to provide solid coverage at the next level.

Charleston Jenkins – Wide Receiver/Tight End/H-Back
Jenkins is a physical specimen at 6’3’’ 215lbs. He offers a mismatch when running seam routes, too fast for most linebackers to run with, and too big for most defensive backs to deal with. Huge college potential.

Gerard Toussaint – Offensive Tackle
2 year player who is very raw, but with good potential. Will need some time to add weight and develop his technique before contributing at the collegiate level.

How has this recruiting season gone?
It has gone fairly smoothly. With one obvious exception that I’ll address later, most of the players have enjoyed a routine recruiting process: schools watch them, send a coach early in the season, monitor their play through the year, send the same coach back during playoffs (probably with an offer) and the player goes from there.

By my unofficial count, there have been no less than 38 schools who have visited Miramar for the 2012 recruiting cycle. Each school has been pleasantly surprised by the talent on the field, and that has led to over 20 athletes earning scholarship offers.

Overall, I believe that a few more players could have earned higher BCS level scholarships. But, if the point is to get as many student-athletes into school as possible, this has been a very productive recruiting season for the Patriots.

Who has made the biggest leap in college interest?
Easily it has been Marrell Jackson. I noticed him starting in the summer, working out in the weight room with Malcolm and Tracy. That work translated into an awesome season, which saw him lead the State in interceptions with 12. Opposing teams quickly took notice of him, and so too did recruiters. Jackson has gone from unknown to potential BCS level recruit in less than 6 months. This type of meteoric rise is uncommon, but it’s well deserved for this talented playmaker.

Who has been the most overlooked recruit?
In my opinion, I would have to say it’s a tie between Mark Rucker and Charleston Jenkins. Both players can be impact players at the FCS (formerly D-1AA level) and could find success at the FBS (Division 1) level in the future.

Rucker, the supreme technician, doesn’t miss tackles, and something that translates at any level. I find it absolutely shocking that he doesn’t have a single college scholarship offer. Dieter Kurtenbach of the Sun-Sentinel did a very nice profile of Rucker and his recruiting struggles. Read more about that HERE

Jenkins needs to work on his blocking if he’s going to stay at Tight End, but his height and athleticism make him a dangerous weapon in any offensive system.

Both players have been overlooked, and I think that a LOT of college teams are going to be kicking themselves for missing on these players.

Who is the best fit considering the school they will be attending?
I think there are 3 players who have the best fit at the next level:
  1.  Malcolm Lewis – speedy receiver with good hands, he will most definitely find himself on the field early for the hometown Hurricanes.
  2.  D’Vontis Arnold – a big, bruising back, Arnold is an FBS level player who will be playing at the FCS level. His talent should shine, and he figures to have an amazing season for Bethune Cookman. Could potentially have the biggest season of any Miramar senior next year.
  3.  Tracy Howard – He’s kind of good. I’ll give you all the details on him in tomorrow’s article.

Which players do you think are going to be in this position come next signing day?
Miramar is in the enviable position of always having top level players, most of whom turn into highly sought after college recruits. With at least 3 players having earned FBS scholarships in the last 4 years, this trend should continue into the future.
As of today, I believe there are 4 players who are going to be the headliners of next year’s signing day:
  1.  Linebacker Jermaine Grace – already mentioned as one of the top players in the class of 2013, Grace will be the unquestioned leader of the Darkside Defense next season. Has already received interest from Florida State, Louisville, and Miami, among others.
  2. Running Back Alex Lee – this speedy player has good size (5’11’’ 175lbs) and figures to add weight through the offseason. His ability to score on any given play has already drawn attention from Florida State and Louisville, with many others sure to join in as he moves into the spotlight as the feature back.
  3.   Center Michael Miranda – Already a seasoned veteran with 2 years of starting experience, Miranda has a bright future at either center or guard at the next level. With good showings on the summer camp circuit, he has the chance to be a high FBS level recruit.
  4. Wide Receiver Sean Avant – made a huge splash in the victory over St. Thomas Aquinas, and continued to make plays all season long. Has good height, runs crisp routes, and catches everything thrown his way. Will get looks from major FBS level schools as the next Miramar Star Receiver.

Now, there will obviously be others who earn scholarships, but those are my top 4 for 2013. And, there is arguably MORE talent in the class of 2014, including Trevon Rolle, Devon Wallace, Tanares Robinson, and Kwasim West. The future for the Patriots is very bright.


And that brings us to the end of Signing Day Primer, part 1. Be sure to check back tomorrow for the Tracy Howard extravaganza.


Until Next Time,


Cameron J. Underwood
Miramar Sports